Tuesday 29 April 2014

Is Washington behind the tension in Crimea? – My Soul repose



This threat was all too credible and it put Washington in a bind. It did not want to annoy the Russian President, Boris Yeltsin, by recognizing Chechnya, but it could not risk allowing nuclear weapons to fall into the hands of the mercurial Qaddafi. Stalling for time, Washington asked Dudayev for more details. Dudayve said that the Americans were welcome to send a team to inspect the weapons, provided they did not tell the Russians.
    
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The Americans knew that Yeltsin would be outraged if he discovered that they were sending agents to Chechnya behind his back. On the other hand, there was the terrible possibility that Dudayev was telling the truth. Weeks of stormy meetings followed in Washington. Eventually, it was decided that they had to send an inspection team. But the Russians were secretly informed. To Washington’s surprise, they were happy the Americans were sending in inspectors: they also believed that the threat was credible as the Kremlin had no idea where most of its nuclear weapons were.

Many of them had been lost in transit in the confusion that came during the Soviet pull-out of former Warsaw Pact satellite countries after the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989. Then when the nuclear stockpile was being withdrawn from newly independent states such as Kazakhstan, the railway system broke down and thousands of freight cars went missing every day, some of which were carrying nuclear weapons.
       
It turned out that Dudayev was bluffing. When the Americans confirmed that he did not have any nuclear weapons, Yeltsin sent the Russian Army into Chechnya, beginning the Chechen war which over the next two years would cost 100, 000 Chechen lives and which continues to this day.

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Monday 14 April 2014

What's happening in Ukraine and Crimea – what is the threat of a Terrorist Bomb- My Soul Repose



IN 1991, THE SOVIET UNION broke up into its constituent parts. This left the world’s second largest nuclear arsenal divided among fledgling nation’s states. Thousands of atomic warheads and hundreds of tons of plutonium were abandoned in far-flung places in the hands of nuclear scientists who did not get paid for months on end, and soldiers who had a grow their own potatoes and forage for food. Organized crime quickly permeated every facet of the former Soviet society.



Ex-Communist officials led the stampede to embrace capitalism with a vengeance: everything was for sale. This meant that after the end of the Cold War, the world was not the safer place it may have been supposed, but an infinitely more dangerous one. Instead of two relatively stable superpowers standing eyeball to eyeball, aware that a war would mean their own destruction, every crackpot terrorist or tin-pot terror state had access to nuclear weapons – if they could pay for them.


     
While Russia let other former Soviet republics go their own way, it tried to hold on the Caucasian state of Chechnya, but the Chechens themselves had other ideas. In 1944 the Chechen warlord Dzokar Dudayev, a former Soviet nuclear-bomber general, seized control of the state. He claimed he had stolen two nuclear warheads when the Soviet army had withdrawn two years before and threatened to sell them to Libya’s Colonel Qaddafi unless the Americans recognized Chechnya as an independent country.

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